Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Sits On Top Of Healthy Support At $37,000

Daily Bitcoin BTC Price Forecast

Last Updated July 23rd 2021
3 Min Read
  • Bitcoin price needs to overcome 200-day SMA to reverse the market trend.
  • The RSI is hovering along the edge of the overbought zone.
  • Bitcoin price crashed by $22,000, dropping from $59,000 to $37,250 between May 9 and May 23 - flipping the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day SMAs from support to resistance. However, this Monday, the bulls had a mini recovery as BTC jumped to $39,000.

    The Bitcoin Price RSI Drops Into Oversold Zone

    The Monday recovery remained pretty short-term though since the bears took back control and dropped Bitcoin price to $37,600 after encountering resistance at the 200-day SMA. The relative strength index (RSI) is trending along the edge of the oversold zone so a drastic drop could trigger a bullish surge.

    Image: BTC/USD daily

    Bitcoin BTC Daily Chart

    Bitcoin price bulls face moderate resistance at the 200-day SMA (~$40,000). Previously, at this level, nearly 350,000 addresses had previously purchased almost 260,000 BTC tokens.

    Image: IntoTheBlock

    Bitcoin BTC Volume Chart

    Bitcoin Price On-Chain Analysis

    BTC Price On-Chain Analysis

    Famous journalist, Joseph Young, shared the following insight:

    "There are a lot of Bitcoin wallets at a loss now compared to a few weeks back. Historically, when this capitulation-esqe trend happened, a sustainable gradual uptrend followed. Let's observe, several FUD points / variables at play, but looking better than not."

    Santiment also noted the following:

    BTC Wallets Holding 1,000+ BTC

    The number of Bitcoin whale addresses (holding 1k+ $BTC) have steadily been on the rise over the past week, and its price is showing it (+14.5% in 24h). 34 new addresses of this kind have emerged, making it the largest accumulation stretch in nearly 4 months.

    However, on the other hand, the short-term addresses are not doing quite so well.

    According to Glassnode, “70% of all short-term #Bitcoin holdings are currently at a loss. Take this as an opportunity to do tax-loss harvesting. Convert your $BTC at a loss into $renBTC; therefore, you don’t lose exposure but can still realize your losses before the next leg up."

    However, staying on Glassnode, it seems like we indeed are in the midst of a deep bull correction.

    BTC Short-Term vs Long-Term Holders

    "#Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit and Loss is a macro cycle oscillator which tracks the magnitude of profit held in $BTC. The market is currently testing a NUPL value of 0.5 which is typical for deep bull cycle corrections."

    Elon Musk And Michael Saylor Form Bitcoin Mining Council To Address Environmental Concerns

    Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla, recently took to Twitter to say that he met with executives of North American Bitcoin mining companies. Just over a week ago, Musk nudged the plunge of cryptocurrencies by announcing that Tesla would stop accepting BTC, citing environmental concerns.  

    The recent meeting with miners has resulted in a newly-formed Bitcoin Mining Council, focused on advancing the adoption of sustainable cryptocurrency mining initiatives. Musk tweeted:

    Spoke with North American Bitcoin miners. They committed to publish current & planned renewable usage and to ask miners WW to do so. Potentially promising.

    Around the same time, Michael Saylor, CEO of MicroStrategy, disclosed he had hosted a meeting between Elon Musk and executives from major bitcoin miners in North America. These miners included Argo Blockchain, Blockcap, Core Scientific, Galaxy Digital, HIVE Blockchain, Marathon Digital Holdings, Riot Blockchain, and Hut 8 Mining.  

    Saylor noted:

    The miners have agreed to form the Bitcoin Mining Council to promote energy usage transparency and accelerate sustainability initiatives worldwide. 

    The process includes standardization of energy reporting requirements, setting industry-wide Environmental, Social, and Corporate Governance (ESG) goals, and further education and growth of the marketplace. According to a Forbes report, Peter Wall, chief executive of Argo Blockchain, said that the new council is the next logical step "in fostering a sectoral shift to renewable energy."  

    The news comes amid a growing spotlight on cryptocurrency mining operations around the world. Aside from a more acute focus on the environmental impact of bitcoin mining, the industry is also facing an intensifying crackdown on Bitcoin mining and trading activities by Chinese authorities.

    Bitcoin Price Is Expected To Reach These Levels

    The Bitcoin price buyers will need to take down the 200-day SMA to reverse the market trend from negative to positive by flipping the parabolic SAR.

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