Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Breaks Past $40,000 Psychological Level

Daily Bitcoin BTC Technical Analysis

Last Updated July 23rd 2021
2 Min Read
  • The Bitcoin price shows increasing bullish market momentum.
  • BTC flipped the parabolic SAR from negative to positive.
  • On June 4, the Bitcoin price faced resistance at the 20-day SMA and dropped from $39,150 to $33,280 till June 8. During this downward plunge, BTC had managed to flip the parabolic SAR from positive to negative. Let’s take a closer look with technical analysis.

    Bitcoin Price Flashes Multiple Buy Signals

    Over the last three days, the Bitcoin price managed to jump from $35,450 to $40,500 – gaining more than $5,000 in its overall valuation. During this jump, BTC flashed the following buy signals:

    1. The MACD shows increasing bullish momentum.
    2. The parabolic SAR reversed from negative to positive.
    3. Reversed the 20-day SMA from resistance to support.

    Image: BTC/USD daily

    BTC/USD daily chart 061521

    The Bitcoin price faces major resistance at the 200-day SMA ($42,500). As per the IOMAP, around 75,000 addresses had previously purchased 330,000 BTC at this level.

    Image: IntoTheBlock

    BTC/USD volume chart 061521

    Bitcoin Exchange Outflow Shoots Up

    BTC/USD santiment chart 061521

    Santiment tweeted:

    "#Bitcoin got up to a 3-week high $40.8k a few hours ago, and the upward push appears to be aided by a healthy flow of funds being moved off exchanges today. When flow balance heads into the negative like it consistently did Monday, it's a #bullish sign."

    Bitcoin Price NVT Reaches 2 Year High

    BTC/USD glassnode chart 061521

    The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio is computed by dividing the market cap by the transferred on-chain volume measured in USD. Glassnode observed:

    “#Bitcoin $BTC NVT Ratio (7d MA) just reached a 2-year high of 1,419.843. Previous 2-year high of 1,419.716 was observed on 06 June 2021.”

    Dutch FinMin Opposes Government’s Decision To Outlaw Crypto

    Wopke Hoekstra, the Dutch minister of finance, is opposed to a blanket crypto ban. In an interview with Dutch publication RTL, Hoekstra argued that a crypto ban (proposed by economic advisor Pieter Hasekamp) is not the right solution to the country’s current concerns about the nascent sector.

    Hasekamp had earlier proposed that crypto mining, trading, and possession should be banned in the Netherlands. He had said:

    For investors and governments, the last person to move is the loser. The Netherlands must now ban bitcoin. 

    He argued that the cryptocurrency fails to meet the necessary criteria for money as it is not ideal for payments, as a unit of account, or store of value. He added that criminal bad actors love BTC because of its anonymity.

    Nevertheless, finance minister Hoekstra disagreed about banning crypto completely. Hoekstra recently said he fully understands the concerns about cryptocurrencies brought forward by Hasekamp. However, a complete ban is a bit of an overreach and is essentially less effective compared to regulatory oversight, he noted.

    In many countries, the legality of Bitcoin is still hazy. In India, for instance, the government has constantly flip-flopped on its stance on crypto and offered an obscure message that Bitcoin is neither legal nor illegal. 

    Conclusively, the bureaucrat’s statements don’t reflect the Dutch government’s official position. Simply put, Hasekamp does not make any major decisions. Crypto investors can still trade and hold their crypto holdings.

    Bitcoin Price Is Expected To Reach These Levels

    Having conquered the $40,000 psychological level the Bitcoin price will now need to overcome the 200-day SMA to reach $45,000.

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