Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Downward Plunge Stopped By 20-day SMA

Daily Ethereum ETH Technical Analysis

Last Updated July 23rd 2021
2 Min Read
  • Ethereum price crashed after meeting resistance at 50-day SMA.
  • The parabolic SAR and MACD indicate sustained bullish sentiment.
  • The Ethereum price gained $425 between June 26 and July 3, wherein it climbed from $1,800 to $2,225. Due to this jump, ETH flipped the parabolic SAR from negative to positive. Following this climb, ETH hovered horizontally between the $2,200 support wall and the 50-day SMA till July 6.

    Ethereum Price Drops Below $2,200

    Since July 7, the continuous rejection at the 50-day SMA finally forced ETH to crash from $2,320 to $2,150, dropping below the $2,300 and $2,200 psychological levels. The 20-day SMA on the downside has prevented a further drop.

    Image: ETH/USD daily

    ETH/USD daily chart 070921

    Looking at IntoTheBlock’s IOMAP, the Ethereum price has immediate resistance at $2,200. Previously, at this level, over 920,000 addresses had purchased almost 10.5 million ETH tokens.

    ETH/USD volume chart 070921

    Ethereum Price On-Chain Analysis – Santiment

    ETH/USD santiment chart 070921

    “In spite of #Ethereum's price, holders of #crypto's #2 coin are moving assets away from exchanges for safe keeping. Our Exchange Flow Balance metric shows that July's 1st week had the largest amount of $ETH moving off exchanges vs. on since April, 2017.”

    ETH/USD santiment chart 2 070921

    “Looking at the long-term holders, MVRV 365D, is showing that they are pretty much still in profit and not feeling any pain at the moment. So far, we have not hit the undervalued zone (below 0%), which is a worrisome sign of more possible pain to come.”

    ETH/USD santiment chart 3 070921

    “ETH supply on exchanges hit its lowest levels in 1 year. While this may indicate less sell pressure, it's important to note that back in 2017/18's cycle, we saw similar drop as well until the market realized that "it's all over for ETH now" and started to flood the exchanges.”

    ETH/USD santiment chart 4 070921

    “Following the drop in May, ETH daily active addresses have taken a tumble as well (-37%) but appears to be normalizing, this is generally showing signs of a healthy network. Further gradual increase in DAA would be encouraging but it's still too early to say.”

    Ethereum Price Is Expected To Reach These Levels

    Having bounced up from the 20-day SMA, the Ethereum price will attempt to retest the $2,200 resistance barrier.

Top Brokers in
    All Regulated Brokers
    67% of retail clients lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.