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Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Drops Below $1,400 Zone Following Bearish Correction

6 Min Read
Last Updated March 27th 2021

Daily Ethereum ETH Technical Analysis

  • Ethereum bears stepped in to correct the market following five straight bullish days.
  • Ethereum miners have been selling off their tokens, adding to the selling pressure.

Since January 13, Ethereum jumped up from $1,050 to $1,380 this Wednesday. ETH touched its all-time high level this Tuesday, but has since retraced back. This Thursday, the bears jumped in following five consecutive green sessions.

 

Ethereum Bears Take Control

Ethereum price dropped from $1,380 to $1,330, losing nearly $50 in its overall valuation. In the process, the sellers managed to flip the $1,345 line from support to resistance. The relative strength index (RSI) was trending along the edge of the overbought zone, before it managed to creep back in.

eth/usd daily chart 012121

Image: ETH/USD daily chart

When we see IntoTheBlock’s IOMAP, we can visualize a very healthy support zone at $1,275. Previously at this level, 125,200 addresses had purchased 6.65 million ETH tokens. This zone looks robust enough to absorb a tremendous amount of selling pressure.

eth/usd volume chart 012121

Image: IntoTheBlock

 

Where Is This Selling Pressure Coming From?

With Ethereum price going through a period of bearish correction, a viable question to ask here is – where is all this negative pressure coming from? It seems like Santiment has the answer for us.

eth/usd santiment chart 012121

Image: Santiment

It looks like the ETH miners have taken some profit in 2021 since January 3, which could have contributed to this negative momentum.

 

Ether Reaches ATH After Bitcoin Assist

Ether (ETH) recently hit a new all-time high, in part due to the volatility seen in Bitcoin’s price. According to CryptoCompare’s Bitcoin Volatility Index (BVIN), Bitcoin’s surging volatility is up 51% year-to-date. This has likely caused investors to turn to other digital assets like ETH.

Vijay Ayyar, head of business development at crypto exchange Luno, said: 

Bitcoin has been in a range for the past few weeks, which gives time for capital to rotate [to other cryptoassets].

Based on Fibonacci retracement levels, several analysts believe that Bitcoin’s next move can make or break its bull run. Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to take place. As for ETH, the asset’s all-time high comes as Ethereum 2.0 makes progress. 

The decentralized finance (DeFi) sector recently saw its total value locked (TVL) surpass $25 billion. Additionally, ETH locked in the Ethereum 2.0 staking contract has been removed from circulation until the network’s proof-of-stake (PoS) upgrade launches. More than $3 billion worth ETH are now locked in it, earning their holders interest.

Alex Krüger, a popular economist, mentioned four Ether price levels to watch out for - $1,500, $1,600, $1,920 and $2,000. He said that these levels are Fibonacci extension, option strike prices and round numbers. 

 

Ethereum To Benefit From Metcalfe’s Law

Ethereum (ETH) recently set an all-time high price record, beating its earlier peak set in 2017. D H Taylor, an economist and a trader, said that Ethereum will soon follow Bitcoin’s footsteps to rally to $20,000. In Jan 2018, just a few weeks after Bitcoin hit its then-record of $20,000, ETH topped out at $1,419 on Coinbase. 

Taylor has based his predicted target on “Metcalf’s Law [sic].” According to a summary cited in a Bitcoinist report, Metcalfe’s Law can map “the rate of growth of a network” using “the square of the number” of its users. Using this law, the analyst claims that Ether will repeat “what Bitcoin did” and move up to $20,000 per ETH. 

ethereum bitcoin comparison

Image: Tradingview

Ether will have to see a 1400% gain from its current prices to reach $20,000. However, other experts such as Claude Erb of the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge,  have used the model to cap Bitcoin’s maximum price at only $73,000 per BTC. Going by this cap on BTC, a $20,000 target on Ether doesn’t seem realistic.

 

TVL In Ethereum 2.0 Crosses $4 Billion

Ethereum 2.0, a little over a month after the launch, currently holds 2.7 million ETH ($3.8 billion). The surging number of stakers and ETH’s recent price rally have helped ETH 2.0 become the third-largest blockchain by staked funds. The network follows Polkadot, with its $10.4 billion locked and Cardano, with $8.3 billion.

When compared to its staking rivals, Ethereum’s percentage of supply committed to staking is prominently lower. While only 2% of Ether’s supply is committed to the deposit contract, Cardano and Polkadot see over 60% of the tokens committed to staking. 

According to Beaconcha.in, the staking yield is approximately 9% - a relatively average performance. This yield is lower than Polkadot and Avalanche rewards but higher than most other staking blockchains, as per stakingrewards.com. 

Compared to others, Ethereum stakers have the additional obstacle of not being able to withdraw their funds until developers complete the transition to the proof-of-stake (PoS )network. Till this is done, stakers may access their liquidity through third-party services. Several exchanges such as Kraken and Binance offer custodial staking with the ability to sell ETH on the exchange. 

 

Ethereum Price Levels Is Expected To Reach These Level

The MACD in the 4-hour chart shows increasing bearish momentum.

eth/usd 4-hour chart 012121

Image: ETH/USD 4-hour

This tells us that a further price drop is expected. In that case, the $1,275 support barrier is probably going to be tested. A further break below this level will take ETH to the 200-bar SMA ($945) in the 4-hour chart.

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